Monday, June 19, 2017

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins



Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2017 Jun 19 0025 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 12 - 18 June 2017

Solar activity was very low throughout the period. Regions 2661 (N06, L=211, class/area=Dao/200 on 02 Jun) and 2663 (N12, L=095, class/area=Dso/100 on 17 Jun) were the most prominent regions this period, but only produced low and mid-level B-class flare activity. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period. 

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels on 12-16 Jun with moderate levels observed on 17-18 Jun. 

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 16 Jun and active levels on 17 Jun due to the influence of a recurrent negative polarity CH HSS. Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet or quiet to unsettled levels throughout the remainder of the period. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 19 June - 15 July 2017

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period with a slight chance for C-class flare activity. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 19-22 and 25-27 Jun with normal and moderate flux levels expected throughout the remainder of the period. 

Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 13 Jul with active levels likely on 23-24 Jun, and 14 Jul due to the influence of multiple, recurrent CH HSSs. Generally quiet and quiet to unsettled activity is expected throughout the remainder of the period as a nominal solar regime prevails. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2017 Jun 19 0025 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2017-06-19
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2017 Jun 19      75          10          3
2017 Jun 20      75           5          2
2017 Jun 21      74           5          2
2017 Jun 22      72           8          3
2017 Jun 23      70          12          4
2017 Jun 24      70          12          4
2017 Jun 25      70          10          3
2017 Jun 26      70           8          3
2017 Jun 27      74           5          2
2017 Jun 28      74           5          2
2017 Jun 29      74           5          2
2017 Jun 30      74           5          2
2017 Jul 01      74           5          2
2017 Jul 02      74           5          2
2017 Jul 03      74           5          2
2017 Jul 04      74           5          2
2017 Jul 05      75           5          2
2017 Jul 06      75           5          2
2017 Jul 07      75           5          2
2017 Jul 08      77           5          2
2017 Jul 09      77           5          2
2017 Jul 10      74           5          2
2017 Jul 11      74           5          2
2017 Jul 12      74           5          2
2017 Jul 13      74          20          5
2017 Jul 14      74          12          4
2017 Jul 15      75          10          3
(NOAA)